After a number of requests in previous diaries here it is. The same style diary, the same methodology and the same layout so as to allow you dear reader to compare us to them!
So below the fold to see how the Repubs are doing in House candidate recruiting for 2008!
And remember part two of this series appears tomorrow, a Dem House update. A hint – three weeks ago we had 354 candidates.
276 House races have confirmed Republican candidates – yep only 276!!! So as not to give any Repub trolls any hints this diary is very light on for analysis.
However it goes without saying that from these numbers the Repubs are really struggling to find candidates for House races in 2008. Wonder why? Just look at the number of unfilled races in California and New York.
Before we crack open the bubbly however a few cautionary notes.
I didn’t trawl through Repub blogs as much as I would through ours (try it yourself and you will see why!)
Very few State Repub Party sites had up to date lists of candidates. More Dem State Party sites did.
The Repubs don’t have a Swing State Project or 2008 Race Tracker wiki so again it is harder to find their candidates.
Expect a lot more of their 2006 candidates to step up as sacrificial lambs later in the cycle.
I am sure I have missed some candidates but not many as I FEC searched all 2006 candidates as well as checking out their websites for updates.
** Despite all that hedging we are soooo far in front of them!!!**
So here is where we are at (Democratic Districts):
Districts with confirmed candidates – 74
Districts with unconfirmed candidates – 4
Districts with rumoured candidates – 21
Districts without any candidates – 134
The Democratic held districts with confirmed Republican challengers are as follows:
AL-05 – R+6,
AZ-05 – R+4,
AZ-07 – D+10,
AZ-08 – R+1,
CA-05 – D+14,
CA-08 – D+36,
CA-09 – D+38,
CA-10 – D+9,
CA-11 – R+3,
CA-17 – D+17,
CA-23 – D+9,
CA-29 – D+12,
CA-43 – D+13,
CA-47 – D+5,
CA-53 – D+12,
CT-02 – D+8,
CT-05 – D+4,
FL-02 – R+2,
FL-11 – D+11,
FL-16 – R+2,
FL-22 – D+4,
FL-23 – D+29,
GA-08 – R+8,
GA-12 – D+2,
GA-13 – ?,
IL-01 – D+35,
IL-03 – D+10,
IL-08 – R+5,
IL-09 – D+20,
IL-12 – D+5,
IN-01 – D+8,
IN-02 – R+4,
IN-07 – D+9,
IN-08 – R+9,
IN-09 – R+7,
IA-02 – D+7,
KS-02 – R+7,
KS-03 – R+4,
KY-03 – D+2,
ME-01 – D+6,
MD-04 – D+30,
MD-08 – D+20,
MA-04 – D+17,
MA-06 – D+10,
MI-01 – R+2,
MI-05 – D+12,
MN-01 – R+1,
MN-05 – D+21,
MO-03 – D+18,
MO-05 – D+12,
NV-01 – D+9,
NH-01 – R+0,
NH-02 – D+3,
NY-01 – D+3,
NY-19 – R+1,
NY-20 – R+3,
NY-22 – D+6,
NC-07 – R+3,
NC-11 – R+7,
OH-10 – D+6,
OH-18 – R+6,
PA-04 – R+3,
PA-10 – R+8,
PA-12 – D+5,
PA-17 – R+7,
TX-09 – R+21,
TX-22 – R+15,
TX-23 – R+4,
TX-29 – D+8,
VA-08 – D+14,
VA-09 – R+7,
WA-02 – D+3,
WV-03 – D+0,
WI-08 – R+4,
The following Democratic districts have candidates that are expected to run but are yet to confirm:
HI-01 – D+7,
ME-02 – D+4,
OR-05 – D+1,
WA-07 – D+30,
The following Democratic districts have rumoured candidates – please note that some of these “rumours” are extremely tenuous!
CA-06 – D+21,
CA-12 – D+22,
CA-20 – D+5,
CA-37 – D+27,
CO-02 – D+8,
KY-06 – R+7,
MD-05 – D+9,
MD-07 – D+25,
MA-05 – D+9,
MA-09 – D+15,
MN-08 – D+4,
NY-24 – R+1,
NC-13 – D+2,
ND-AL – R+13,
PA-07 – D+4,
PA-08 – D+3,
PA-11 – D+5,
RI-01 – D+16,
SD-AL – R+10,
TX-18 – D+23,
WA-01 – D+7,
And last but not least the following districts have not a single rumoured GOP candidate:
AL-07 – D+17,
AZ-04 – D+14,
AR-01 – D+1,
AR-02 – R+0,
AR-04 – D+0,
CA-01 – D+10,
CA-07 – D+19,
CA-13 – D+22,
CA-14 – D+18,
CA-15 – D+14,
CA-16 – D+16,
CA-18 – D+3,
CA-27 – D+13,
CA-28 – D+25,
CA-30 – D+20,
CA-31 – D+30,
CA-32 – D+17,
CA-33 – D+36,
CA-34 – D+23,
CA-35 – D+33,
CA-36 – D+11,
CA-38 – D+20,
CA-39 – D+13,
CA-51 – D+7,
CO-01 – D+18,
CO-03 – R+6,
CO-07 – D+2,
CT-01 – D+14,
CT-03 – D+12,
FL-03 – D+16,
FL-17 – D+35,
FL-19 – D+21,
FL-20 – D+18,
GA-02 – D+2,
GA-04 – D+22,
GA-05 – ?,
HI-02 – D+10,
IL-02 – D+35,
IL-04 – D+13,
IL-05 – D+18,
IL-07 – D+35,
IL-17 – D+5,
IA-01 – D+5,
IA-03 – D+1,
LA-02 – D+28,
LA-03 – R+5,
MD-02 – D+8,
MD-03 – D+7,
MA-01 – D+15,
MA-02 – D+11,
MA-03 – D+11,
MA-07 – D+18,
MA-08 – D+31,
MA-10 – D+8,
MI-12 – D+13,
MI-13 – D+32,
MI-14 – D+33,
MI-15 – D+13,
MN-04 – D+13,
MN-07 – R+6,
MS-02 – D+10,
MS-04 – R+16,
MO-01 – D+26,
MO-04 – R+11,
NJ-01 – D+14,
NJ-06 – D+12,
NJ-08 – D+12,
NJ-09 – D+13,
NJ-10 – D+34,
NJ-12 – D+8,
NJ-13 – D+23,
NM-03 – D+6,
NY-02 – D+7,
NY-04 – D+9,
NY-05 – D+18,
NY-06 – D+38,
NY-07 – D+28,
NY-08 – D+28,
FL-10 – D+14,
NY-10 – D+41,
NY-11 – D+40,
NY-12 – D+34,
NY-14 – D+26,
NY-15 – D+43,
NY-16 – D+43,
NY-17 – D+21,
NY-18 – D+10,
NY-21 – D+9,
NY-27 – D+7,
NY-28 – D+15,
NC-01 – D+9,
NC-02 – R+3,
NC-04 – D+6,
NC-12 – D+11,
OH-06 – D+0,
OH-09 – D+9,
OH-11 – D+33,
OH-13 – D+6,
OH-17 – D+14,
OK-02 – R+5,
OR-01 – D+6,
OR-03 – D+18,
OR-04 – D+0,
PA-01 – D+36,
PA-02 – D+39,
PA-13 – D+8,
PA-14 – D+22,
RI-02 – D+13,
SC-05 – R+6,
SC-06 – D+11,
TN-04 – R+3,
TN-05 – D+6,
TN-06 – R+4,
TN-07 – R+12,
TN-09 – D+18,
TX-15 – D+3,
TX-16 – D+9,
TX-17 – R+18,
TX-20 – D+8,
TX-25 – D+1,
TX-27 – R+1,
TX-28 – R+1,
TX-30 – D+26,
UT-02 – R+17,
VT-AL – D+8,
VA-03 – D+18,
WA-03 – D+0,
WA-06 – D+6,
WA-09 – D+6,
WV-01 – R+6,
WI-02 – D+13,
WI-03 – D+3,
WI-04 – D+20,
WI-07 – D+2,
Woo hoo to the Democratic Party we are implementing the 50 State Strategy in spades whilst the GOP are playing rats jumping off a sinking ship.
Big gap between us and them 🙂
Republicans have filed in all eight districts:
http://www.elections.state.md….